Forecast Ledger Template
Decision or claim
Date logged
Time horizon / review date
Forecast
- Confidence band or probability:
- Why this is the current view:
Evidence in favour
Evidence against
Update triggers
What facts or events would materially change the forecast?
- Trigger 1:
- Trigger 2:
- Trigger 3:
Kill criteria
At what point should this idea be abandoned, paused, or radically revised?
Outcome review
Fill this in later.
- What happened:
- Was the process good:
- What did we learn: