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Analyse consequential choices with outside views, incentives, inversion, scenario arithmetic, opportunity costs, and explicit update conditions. Use for decision memos, premortems, strategy choices, or a requested red-team; not routine factual questions or a reason to overanalyse a small decision.

Use this Skill: https://skilld.dev/gh/tristanmanchester/agent-skills/wordly-wisdom

Nothing lands on disk. Nothing to clean up.

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Edit a local copy. It keeps the author and licence.

assetsforecast-ledger-template.md

≈138 tokens on demand. Your agent reads this file only when SKILL.md points to it.

Forecast Ledger Template

Decision or claim

Date logged

Time horizon / review date

Forecast

  • Confidence band or probability:
  • Why this is the current view:

Evidence in favour

Evidence against

Update triggers

What facts or events would materially change the forecast?

  • Trigger 1:
  • Trigger 2:
  • Trigger 3:

Kill criteria

At what point should this idea be abandoned, paused, or radically revised?

Outcome review

Fill this in later.

  • What happened:
  • Was the process good:
  • What did we learn:

Source: SKILL.md on GitHub

skilld matched fixed text patterns in SKILL.md and file names. Patterns miss obfuscated code.

skilld run checks every file with the same patterns. It asks for approval before it loads a Skill with a behavior marked Needs approval.

2 warnings1mo5 checks · Risk MEDIUM
  • Gen Agent Trust Hub1mo

    The skill provides a framework for decision analysis using mental models and local Python scripts. It is flagged as medium risk due to metadata poisoning, as it claims to be authored by 'openai' while originating from an unrelated developer 'tristanmanchester'. Additionally, the skill's ingestion of untrusted user data for decision memos and script processing creates a surface for indirect prompt injection and potential arbitrary file writes.

  • Socket1mo

    No alerts

  • Snyk1mo

    Risk: LOW · No issues

  • Runlayer7mo

    1/16 files flagged

  • ZeroLeaks6mo

    Score: 93/100 · 2 sections analyzed

Signed by skilld at 3323bc9. This ties the file your Agent reads to that commit on GitHub. It does not review the instructions.

Last checked against GitHub 2 weeks ago.

Steadyupdated last month
Other metadata
compatibility
Core reasoning needs no special tools. Optional arithmetic helpers require Python 3.10+ and use only the standard library. Time-sensitive or specialised claims require current relevant sources.
metadata
{
  "version": "4.0.0",
  "reviewed": "2026-09-13",
  "source-book": "Poor Charlie's Almanack"
}

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