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/wordly-wisdom

@3323bc9
by Tristan Manchestertristanmanchester/agent-skills3 stars
2
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Analyse consequential choices with outside views, incentives, inversion, scenario arithmetic, opportunity costs, and explicit update conditions. Use for decision memos, premortems, strategy choices, or a requested red-team; not routine factual questions or a reason to overanalyse a small decision.

Use this Skill: https://skilld.dev/gh/tristanmanchester/agent-skills/wordly-wisdom

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assetsoracle-decision-memo-template.md

≈284 tokens on demand. Your agent reads this file only when SKILL.md points to it.

Oracle Decision Memo Template

1. Decision

What decision is being made?

2. Objective, horizon, and constraints

  • Objective:
  • Time horizon:
  • Constraints:
  • What success looks like:

3. Options

4. Quick eliminations

Which options fail immediately, and why?

5. Outside view

  • Relevant category or precedent:
  • Base rate or reference class:
  • What usually goes wrong:

6. Inside view

  • Key assumptions:
  • Main mechanism by which this works:
  • Main mechanism by which this breaks:

7. Models applied

For each model:

  • Model:
  • Why it matters:
  • What it suggests:
  • What it does not settle:

8. Bias and incentive audit

  • Dominant incentive:
  • Likely misjudgments:
  • Stakeholders who can game the system:
  • Hidden reason this may still fail:

9. Premortem

Assume this failed badly. Why?

10. Recommendation

  • Verdict:
  • Confidence: low / medium / high
  • Strongest reason:
  • Biggest risk:

11. What would change my mind

List the facts, thresholds, or events that would materially change the recommendation.

12. Next actions

  • Immediate next step:
  • Evidence to gather:
  • Decision deadline:

Source: SKILL.md on GitHub

Skill behaviors

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Third-party checks

2 warnings1mo5 checks · Risk MEDIUM
  • Gen Agent Trust Hub1mo

    The skill provides a framework for decision analysis using mental models and local Python scripts. It is flagged as medium risk due to metadata poisoning, as it claims to be authored by 'openai' while originating from an unrelated developer 'tristanmanchester'. Additionally, the skill's ingestion of untrusted user data for decision memos and script processing creates a surface for indirect prompt injection and potential arbitrary file writes.

  • Socket1mo

    No alerts

  • Snyk1mo

    Risk: LOW · No issues

  • Runlayer7mo

    1/16 files flagged

  • ZeroLeaks6mo

    Score: 93/100 · 2 sections analyzed

Provenance

Signed by skilld at 3323bc9. This ties the file your Agent reads to that commit on GitHub. It does not review the instructions.

Last checked against GitHub 2 weeks ago.

Steadyupdated last month

Capability

Other metadata
compatibility
Core reasoning needs no special tools. Optional arithmetic helpers require Python 3.10+ and use only the standard library. Time-sensitive or specialised claims require current relevant sources.
metadata
{
  "version": "4.0.0",
  "reviewed": "2026-09-13",
  "source-book": "Poor Charlie's Almanack"
}

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